Market Update: Are Outdated ASICs Unplugging Yet?

Published: Tue, 06/14/22

June 14, 2022
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Block Times Extend As Old Miners Unplug

 

Bitcoin saw one of the most significant sell-offs of the year, dropping 29% from a high of $32,000 earlier this week down to $20,862 Monday evening. Panic – seeded by crypto-lending platform Celsius halting withdrawals Sunday evening US-time, followed by Binance temporarily halting withdrawals from a claimed “stuck transactions” – is certainly gripping crypto markets. 

 

At the same time, traditional finance is having issues of its own. The S&P 500 is down almost 10% after the weekend while most stocks sank into the red. Larger market sell offs are certainly causing panic in Bitcoin, cascading from equites all the way down to Celsius.

 

Miners are not spared. The cost-to-mine has become slightly more expensive as of the most recent 1.3% upward difficulty adjustment on June 7. Bitcoin’s difficulty is now over 30.3 Trillion (T).

 

Combine high difficulty with a sudden drop in BTC price, and miners may be shutting off their machines. In fact, we can see as much on-chain. Block times intervals increase pass the ten minute target if the network’s difficulty is too high. Currently, the average block time as of Monday is some 970 seconds, according to Blockchair. Block times usually clock in around 600 seconds and could revert to normal, depending on network conditions.

 

The large increase in block intervals indicates some miners – likely less efficient miners running older generation Antminers and Whatsminers – are dropping off the network. Luckily for next generation machines such as the Antminer S19, there’s still cushion for revenue positive mining, particularly if your hosting situation has low energy costs.

-Mitch Klee

Source: Blockchair.com

Disclaimer: This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any investment or to adopt any investment strategy. This information is for educational purposes only and is as of the date of that particular presentation. Compass does not guarantee profits from mining activity.

Price ($)

Bitcoin's price dropped dramatically to a 24 hour low of $20,862. Price is now below the 200 weekly moving average, an event that has only happened now four times in the last seven years and historically marking a point of rebound.

 

Source: Blockchain.com

ASIC Price ($/TH)

Machine prices denominated by dollars per per terahash ($/TH) rose slightly over the past few weeks, but has not yet accounted for the steep drop in Bitcoin price. Expect lower values in the near term.

 

Source: Compass Mining Marketplace

Hashprice ($, Sats)

Hashprice has seen a quick decline in dollar terms but a rise when denominated in Satoshis. An increase in hashprice when denominated in Satoshis is likely due to some older generation mining machines unplugging.

 

Source: Compass Mining Marketplace

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